Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.236431 0.268346 0.302479 0.341642 0.385278 0.432343 0.486887
2025-10-12 0.197340 0.240862 0.290407 0.350776 0.422125 0.503532 0.603208
2025-10-19 0.166806 0.216794 0.276831 0.353803 0.449370 0.563589 0.709851
2025-10-26 0.146009 0.200597 0.269314 0.361391 0.480652 0.628918 0.826070
2025-11-02 0.130909 0.189048 0.265371 0.371712 0.514642 0.698514 0.951070
2025-11-09 0.114557 0.173428 0.253825 0.369993 0.531568 0.746041 1.049455
2025-11-16 0.101395 0.160413 0.244017 0.368936 0.548196 0.792997 1.148640
2025-11-23 0.090234 0.148832 0.234753 0.367216 0.562889 0.837182 1.245482
2025-11-30 0.083292 0.142701 0.232578 0.375102 0.591161 0.901151 1.372618
2025-12-07 0.075426 0.134169 0.225816 0.375207 0.607448 0.948213 1.477309
2025-12-14 0.068565 0.126457 0.219480 0.375147 0.622978 0.994382 1.582323
2025-12-21 0.062673 0.119691 0.213938 0.375647 0.638978 1.041549 1.690514
2025-12-28 0.058206 0.115096 0.211812 0.381911 0.665114 1.106576 1.830936
2026-01-04 0.054893 0.112196 0.212242 0.392342 0.698487 1.184446 1.995016
2026-01-11 0.050771 0.107342 0.208824 0.395864 0.720526 1.245336 2.135177
2026-01-18 0.047805 0.104339 0.208364 0.404345 0.751185 1.321333 2.302725
2026-01-25 0.045516 0.102396 0.209604 0.415802 0.787417 1.407938 2.491120
2026-02-01 0.041686 0.096921 0.203775 0.413927 0.800125 1.455884 2.617801
2026-02-08 0.038329 0.092035 0.198603 0.412771 0.813823 1.505843 2.749661
2026-02-15 0.035216 0.087308 0.193298 0.410876 0.825877 1.553272 2.878939
2026-02-22 0.033507 0.085464 0.193545 0.419596 0.857762 1.636321 3.072457
2026-03-01 0.031080 0.081720 0.189587 0.419715 0.873452 1.691381 3.219406
2026-03-08 0.028848 0.078171 0.185710 0.419649 0.888647 1.746025 3.367587